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Thread: 150,000 projected fatalities in next 3 weeks?

  1. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by 91CavGT View Post
    Exponential spread. That is what we know. We also know that as hospitals get overwhelmed, the case fatality rate increases(Italy is over 11% fatality rate right now while we are around 3%).


    With exponential increases, you get a 10 fold increase every 10 days.


    So today 6,200 deaths.
    10 days from now we will have about 62,000 deaths.
    10 days after that will yield 620,000 deaths


    All of that is if the CFR does NOT change AND that is if no other lock down measures are put into place. Exponential increase is VERY difficult for us to wrap our heads around.
    Italy has the oldest population in Europe. They allowed lots of Chinese in and did nothing to curtail the Pandemic. Smoking and drinking are 2 major things in most of Southern Europe. Many other places Drinking and smoking are the norm as well. Yet age and the preexisting conditions are the reason.

    Who is being tested for the Virus???? The major percentage who have it have not had any or very little symptoms!!! The highest probability folks are the ones who are getting tested.......So high risk groups and death rates of those is why the US numbers are about 3%....

    Statistics are being manipulated!!!!! We can't test everyone...Hospitals in Cali are sending folks home who are asymptomatic or very mild symptoms home!!! Guess what, that is playing a game with the numbers. If you want the correct numbers everyone has to be tested.....We can't do that due to not having enough tests......

    Basic Statistics folks...

  2. #12
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    New York State last week reported 53% of people that tested positive were under the age of 49. The strain appears to have mutated and is no longer primarily targeting the old and those with other complications. So that throws a monkey wrench into things.

    This virus and what we know about it appears to be constantly changing so the info we had a month ago is potentially no longer valid.
    Prepare for the worst, hope for the best

  3. #13
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    It makes perfect sense that the virus would mutate in exactly this way.

    You start with a virus that a good many people can/will catch, but show no symptoms or very light symptoms. When those people cross paths with those who have weakened systems (age, disease, chronic condition) it flares up into a disease that lands you flat on your back and you die in short order. That's dramatic, but it doesn't spread nearly as much as...

    ... a virus that makes a lot of people cough, sneeze or otherwise aerosolize the virus, but not so sick it lands them on their back... This is much more efficient in spreading the virus through the population... and only EVENTUALLY kill a good many people who get a serious case of it. Because this mutation spreads more efficiently it SHOULD eventually become the more dominant strain.
    "The thing about smart people is they seem like crazy people to dumb people" - Stephen Hawking

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    Quote Originally Posted by 91CavGT View Post
    New York State last week reported 53% of people that tested positive were under the age of 49. The strain appears to have mutated and is no longer primarily targeting the old and those with other complications. So that throws a monkey wrench into things.

    This virus and what we know about it appears to be constantly changing so the info we had a month ago is potentially no longer valid.
    Viruses attack everyone equally. Yet those who are more likely to die are the really young and Old.
    typhus kills loads of people in Turd world countries.
    Dysentery kills loads of people as well.

    Who does those "problems" kill? The really young and Old.....It isn't the that others don't get it.... They can do something called compensate!!! I know a big word.

    Again who is the virus killing again????

    Locally they were discussing how a 50 year old died from it and he was healthy!!! Then what comes out the "healthy" 50 year old was in a Nursing Home......Healthy People don't go to Nursing homes!!!!

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    Quote Originally Posted by finris View Post
    Viruses attack everyone equally. Yet those who are more likely to die are the really young and Old.
    typhus kills loads of people in Turd world countries.
    Dysentery kills loads of people as well.

    Who does those "problems" kill? The really young and Old.....It isn't the that others don't get it.... They can do something called compensate!!! I know a big word.

    Again who is the virus killing again????

    Locally they were discussing how a 50 year old died from it and he was healthy!!! Then what comes out the "healthy" 50 year old was in a Nursing Home......Healthy People don't go to Nursing homes!!!!

    If the virus attacks the very young, and very old, then where are all of the news reports of this putting the young kids in the hospital???


    This virus does not act in the same manner as a typical virus. This past week a principle at a local junior high died from it. He was 49. He went to the hospital on Monday and was dead on Tuesday night. The test results came back after he died. This virus does not act in the same manner as a typical virus.
    Prepare for the worst, hope for the best

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    Quote Originally Posted by 91CavGT View Post
    If the virus attacks the very young, and very old, then where are all of the news reports of this putting the young kids in the hospital???


    This virus does not act in the same manner as a typical virus. This past week a principle at a local junior high died from it. He was 49. He went to the hospital on Monday and was dead on Tuesday night. The test results came back after he died. This virus does not act in the same manner as a typical virus.

    Because this virus is not a typical virus, this virus is a frickin lie;

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bAPP...ature=youtu.be

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    Quote Originally Posted by 91CavGT View Post
    If the virus attacks the very young, and very old, then where are all of the news reports of this putting the young kids in the hospital???


    This virus does not act in the same manner as a typical virus. This past week a principle at a local junior high died from it. He was 49. He went to the hospital on Monday and was dead on Tuesday night. The test results came back after he died. This virus does not act in the same manner as a typical virus.
    What killed the Principle??? The fact that he had other problems....I have an attorney friend and we talked about this. Big time Attorney in OKC has been diagnosed with it. He has been hospitalized....When you explain what a virus is and does.....Big Attorney is a Big Time Petter Puffer....Why would a PP get a virus and have a decreased immune response???? HIV comes to mind....

    Washington is doing research treatments now. Guess what they have found all these hospitalized Patients have a lack of NK cells...Natural Killer cells...They are replacing them and having quite good results....Now ask yourself why a "Normal" person would have a lack of a cell your Immune system normally has plenty of...

    JFYI

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    22 thousand deaths from the " normal " flu. Not one word from MSM about that.

  10. #20
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    I posted this else where. They whole ware fare issue being brought to light...This isn't getting things to look any better..You are definitely not seeing this on normal news sites.

    https://www.jewishpress.com/indepth/...MmT_NXeCdms_TU

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